000 AGXX40 KNHC 061822 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 122 PM EST MON JAN 6 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT IS RACING THROUGH THE SE GULF WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS COVERING MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS W OF THE FRONT WITH GENTLE TO LIGHT WINDS E OF THE FRONT. SEAS ARE IN THE 8 TO 15 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT AND 1-2 FT E OF THE FRONT. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS FOR ALL CENTRAL AND SW GULF ZONES WITH A GALE WARNING FOR FREQUENT GUSTS TO 40 KT OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT SE OF THE GULF TONIGHT WITH GALE CONDITIONS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM NW TO SE. BY 18 UTC TUE...WINDS ACROSS ALL GULF WATERS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE. BY WED...WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT WILL DECREASE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER TEXAS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES THROUGH EARLY WED. THIS WILL PRODUCE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW OVER THE GULF WATERS WITH FRESH TO STRONG RETURN FLOW ESTABLISHING OVER THE FAR NW GULF BY EARLY WED. MODERATE TO FRESH RETURN FLOW WILL DOMINATE ELSEWHERE W OF 90W...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH NE-E FLOW E OF 90W. THE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF BASIN THROUGH FRI...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WINDS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOSENS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH FRESH TRADES OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE IN NE SWELL. THE RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL RETREAT EASTWARD ENABLING THE STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE GULF WATERS TO ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS EVENING. WITH THE RIDGE RETREATING EASTWARD...COVERAGE OF THE STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE W OF THE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY SWELL TO 17 FT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE FOR ALL NW CARIBBEAN ZONES BY TUE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT WEAKENS AND BEGINS TO STALL. WINDS W OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY WED AFTERNOON WITH REMNANT NORTHERLY SWELL SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY LATE WED NIGHT/EARLY THU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA MIDWEEK AS THE FRONT WEAKENS. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND ONCE AGAIN INCREASE COVERAGE OF STRONG TRADES BY WED...WITH COVERAGE OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES SPREADING TO COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY WEEKS END. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES AND 9-12 FT SEAS IN NE SWELL WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS N OF 13N/14N...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES AND 8-11 FT SEAS IN NE SWELL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NEAR 27N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE FAR NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE NW WATERS WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA EXCEPT FOR LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE SW WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-9 FT OVER THE NW WATERS...7-10 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS N OF 22N AND 5-7 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS S OF 22N. WINDS W OF THE FRONT WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY EARLY TUE MORNING AS THE FRONT STARTS TO WEAKEN. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD AND WILL STALL FROM NEAR 31N62W TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE EVENING. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN START TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT BY WED MORNING AS CENTRAL ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE AREA. THE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING TO THE NW-N THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...REACHING ALONG 30N BY LATE THU NIGHT BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER THE NW WATERS ON FRI. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...GALE WARNING TODAY. GMZ013...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ015...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ017...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ019...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TUE. GMZ021...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TUE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ025...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TUE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO TUE. AMZ013...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO TUE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...GALE WARNING TUE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TUE. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO TUE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.