000
AGXX40 KNHC 041807
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
107 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE...EXCEPT MEDIUM CONFIDENCE SUN EVENING THROUGH MON
NIGHT.

SE RETURN FLOW IN THE NW GULF AROUND HIGH PRES WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE GULF W OF 90W BY TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
THE FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF SUN MORNING EXTENDING FROM
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS BY SUN AFTERNOON AND
FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE SUN
NIGHT THEN MOVE SE OF THE GULF BY MON EVENING. GALE WINDS WILL
ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE W CENTRAL AND SW GULF WITH AT
LEAST NEAR GALE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF LATE
SUN NIGHT AND MON. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NW
GULF WATERS ON TUE AND SPREAD E ACROSS THE WATERS W OF 90W BY WED
NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE...EXCEPT MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN NW
CARIBBEAN MON EVENING THROUGH TUE.


ATLC RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE S
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE PERIOD. FRESH EASTERLY TRADES WILL
INCREASE TO STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS WILL SPREAD
W ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON SUN AND MON. THE TRADES WILL
DIMINISH SOME ON TUE AND WED ACROSS THE AREA E OF 78W. A STATIONARY
FRONT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A STRONGER
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN LATE MON WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS INCREASING TO AT LEAST NEAR GALE FORCE IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON TUE WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
CONTINUING ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN W OF 78W THROUGH WED.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE...EXCEPT MEDIUM CONFIDENCE MON AND
MON NIGHT.

COLD FRONT FROM 267N65W TO 25N68W THEN STATIONARY TO CENTRAL CUBA
IS STALLING AND WILL LIFT BACK N AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY...GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING IN THE SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW SETTING UP ACROSS THE
ATLC WATERS N OF BAHAMAS TONIGHT...ALL AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT
MOVING OFF THE GEORGIA COAST ON MON. THIS STRONG FRONT WILL REACH
FROM BERMUDA TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON TUE AND STALL ACROSS THE
AREA ON WED. STRONG NLY BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
ON WED AND THU.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON.
     GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT INTO MON. 
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT INTO MON. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON INTO MON NIGHT. 
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.