000 AGXX40 KNHC 020720 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 220 AM EST THU JAN 2 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOW PRESSURE OF 1014 MB IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN GULF NEAR 23N93W WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING NE TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE NE GULF WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN GULF. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT NE OF THE AREA TODAY LIFTING THE WARM FRONT N OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THIS MORNING AND RAPIDLY SHIFT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS...SHIFTING SE OF THE AREA FRI. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SW WATERS W OF 94W TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE BY FRI MORNING. OTHERWISE...FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS WILL PREVAIL IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AND COVER MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE FROM NW TO SE STARTING FRI AS THE FRONT SHIFTS SE OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH SAT. A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL SEE THE RIDGE RETREAT EASTWARD BY SUN ENABLING ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY SUN. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY MON AND SHIFTING SE OF THE AREA MON NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN...FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS WILL COVER MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT BY MON AFTERNOON. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE N OF THE AREA IS MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH NEAR GALE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WITH MODERATE TRADES PREVAILING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 9-13 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...7-9 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE N OF THE AREA THROUGH TODAY MAINTAINING THE CURRENT WINDS. THE RIDGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD FRIDAY TEMPORARILY DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN FRI WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA BY SAT ONCE AGAIN INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY MON. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD MONDAY WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN DIMINISH TRADES OVER THE FORECAST AREA...AND ENABLE A SECOND COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN LATE MON NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL. MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS FROM LOW PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES S OF 22N WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE S OF 22N...5-7 FT N OF 22N AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS AND 3-5 FT N OF 22N W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL QUICKLY MOVE NE EARLY TODAY...DRAGGING THE WARM FRONT N OF THE AREA...AND SHIFTING ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT INTO THE FAR NW WATERS TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT...AND WILL REACH GALE FORCE EARLY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND W OF THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL SHIFT N OF THE AREA BY EARLY FRI. THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO WESTERN CUBA EARLY FRI...AND STALL FROM NEAR 27N65W TO W CUBA EARLY SAT. THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTHWARD SAT AND N OF THE AREA BY EARLY SUN. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS EARLY MON AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO WESTERN CUBA MON EVENING. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE WARNING TONIGHT. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.