000 AGXX40 KNHC 010724 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 224 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 23N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 21N94W TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE SW GULF WITH SEAS REACHING 15 FT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE NOTED N OF THE FRONT TO 27N...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL N OF 27N AND ALSO S OF THE FRONT. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-10 FT RANGE OVER THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS N OF THE FRONT...HIGHEST W OF 90W WHERE THE FETCH IS LONGER. SEAS IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE PREVAIL OVER THE FAR N GULF WATERS...AND 4-6 FT S OF THE FRONT. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DRAGGING THE STATIONARY FRONT NORTHWARD WITH IT AS A WARM FRONT. THE LOW WILL THEN RAPIDLY SHIFT NE OF THE AREA BY THU AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THU AND RAPIDLY SHIFT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS...MOVING SE OF THE AREA FRIDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SW GULF WATERS THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. OTHERWISE...FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS WILL COVER MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THU AND FRI. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFT SE OF THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SUN NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE N OF THE AREA IS MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER CARIBBEAN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL N OF THE AREA THROUGH THU MAINTAINING THE TIGHT GRADIENT AND FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD FRIDAY WHICH WILL LOOSEN THE GRADIENT AND DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE AREA FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE TRADES OVER THE FORECAST AREA. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 27N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THEN TURNS STATIONARY TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 22N WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS N OF 22N. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE S OF 22N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 5-7 FT S OF 22N W OF THE BAHAMAS. SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS N OF 22N AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS...WITH SEAS IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE ELSEWHERE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT HAS SLOWED AND THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY EARLY TODAY AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THU. A SECOND STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS THU. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITHIN 150 NM E OF THE FRONT AND N OF 28N BY THU NIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING N OF THE AREA FRI MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL BEHIND THE FRONT AND ALSO N OF 28N AND E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA FRI MORNING...THEN FROM 27N65W TO WESTERN CUBA BY LATE FRI NIGHT WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT WITH WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. AMZ113...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.