000
AGXX40 KNHC 311824
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
124 PM EST TUE DEC 31 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3
BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM 
CONFIDENCE DUE TO NEXT GALE TIMING.

STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 22N94W TO BAY
OF CAMPECHE. GALE FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT OVER CENTRAL AND
SW GULF S OF 26N W OF 92W AND STRONG NE BREEZE WITH SEAS 5-7 FT
ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT. MODERATE NE BREEZE E AND S OF FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH SEAS 3-5 FT. GALE FORCE WINDS DIMINISH TONIGHT AS
FRONT DISSIPATES AND HIGH PRES CENTER MOVES OVER SE CONUS. 
LOW PRES DEVELOPS IN SW GULF EARLY WED AND SHIFT NE REACHING NE
GULF EARLY THU. STRONG COLD FRONT MOVE INTO NW GULF WATERS LATE
WED INTO EARLY THU AND RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS GULF WATERS AND SE OF
AREA LATE FRI BRINGING FRESH TO STRONG...EVEN NEAR GALE FORCE...
WINDS AND SEAS TO 12 FT. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH THROUGH SAT AS
NEW HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS GULF IN WAKE OF FRONT.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL. 
NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF AREA MAINTAINS TIGHT GRADIENT OVER CARIBBEAN
WATERS. STRONG TRADES OVER CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH NEAR GALE WINDS
AND SEAS TO 12 FT...CURRENTLY SUBSIDING...OFF COAST OF COLOMBIA.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WITH SEAS 8-9 FT PREVAIL OVER EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WITH SEAS 5-7 FT OVER WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS
WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. HIGH PRES RIDGE RETREAT EASTWARD THU INTO FRI 
LOOSENING GRADIENT AND DIMINISHING WINDS OVER CARIBBEAN FRI. HIGH
PRES BUILDS BACK N OF AREA SAT AND ONCE AGAIN INCREASE WINDS OVER
BASIN. COLD FRONT MOVE INTO NW CARIBBEAN LATE FRI WHERE IT STALLS
AND DISSIPATES THROUGH SAT.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL.
NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N68W TO NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THEN
TURNS STATIONARY TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA. MODERATE TO FRESH N WINDS
VEER NE AND E LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN MORE SE TO S LATE WED AS
SECOND COLD FRONT ENTERS NW CORNER OF BASIN. CURRENT SEAS 4-5 FT
BUILD TO 6-8 FT AS S WINDS BECOME STRONG AHEAD OF FRONT. SECOND
FRONT REACH FROM 31N70W TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA LATE FRI THEN FROM
26N65W TO NW CUBA SAT WHERE IT STALLS AND DISSIPATES.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...GALE WARNING.
GMZ019...GALE WARNING.
GMZ021...NONE. 
GMZ023...GALE WARNING.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.