000 AGXX40 KNHC 310719 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 219 AM EST TUE DEC 31 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE FLORIDA STRAITS TO 21N94W TO THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NE GULF TO THE CENTRAL GULF...THE LINGERING REMNANTS OF THE WEAK COLD FRONT FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF W OF THE COLD FRONT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE STATIONARY FRONT W OF 90W. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL E OF THE FRONT OVER THE SW GULF. ELSEWHERE MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-14 FT RANGE OVER THE SW GULF WHERE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FOUND AND IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE OVER THE REGION OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS. ELSEWHERE SEAS IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE PREVAIL. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER PART OF THE SW GULF WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE SW GULF BY WED MORNING. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL LIFT NE REACHING THE NE GULF EARLY THU. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF WATERS LATE WED INTO EARLY THU AND RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND SE OF THE AREA LATE FRI WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS...AND EVEN AREAS OF WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE...COVERING MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE N OF THE AREA IS MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH NEAR GALE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 9-13 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...4-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 6-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN N OF THE AREA THROUGH THU MAINTAINING THE FRESH TO STRONG TRADES. THE RIDGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD THU INTO FRI. THIS WILL LOOSEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN BY FRI. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA SAT WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE WINDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN LATE FRI WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL. NWPS/MWW3 BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS WITH STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUING TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN OBSERVATIONS DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS S OF 23N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS N OF 23N. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SE WATERS...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CONTINUE EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY BY TONIGHT FROM NEAR 28N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE UNITED STATES COAST ON THU EVENING AND REACH FROM 31N70W TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA FRI AFTERNOON...THEN REACH FROM NEAR 26N65W TO NW CUBA SAT WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ019...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING TONIGHT. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.