000
AGXX40 KNHC 150736
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
236 AM EST SUN DEC 15 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.
 
STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO WESTERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE AND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO E BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT
THEN MOVE E OF THE AREA MON. GALE FORCE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT OVER THE SW GULF TODAY
THEN WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT
RAPIDLY MOVES EASTWARD. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE EARLY THIS WEEK
AS THE FRONT MOVES SE OF THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE FORECAST AREA.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WHERE GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL. SEAS
ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC AS WELL AS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN WHILE SEAS IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL START TO
MOVE EASTWARD. WINDS AND SEAS WILL START TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS
WEEK AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOSENS AS A RESULT OF THE RIDGE
SHIFTING EASTWARD. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN
ON MON WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF NE FLORIDA COAST INTO THE NW PORTION
OF THE AREA LATER TODAY AND EXTEND FROM 31N74W TO SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT...AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM 31N67W TO CENTRAL
CUBA MON WHERE IT WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH TUESDAY.
SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE TO GALE FORCE N
OF 30N W OF 77W TODAY THEN BELOW GALE FORCE TONIGHT. WINDS AND
SEAS DECREASE MON.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE WARNING TODAY.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY.
AMZ113...NONE. 
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.