000 AGXX40 KNHC 271909 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 209 PM EST WED NOV 27 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3/NWPS BLEND FOR SEA HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ACROSS THE GULF WATERS HAS SHIFTED SE OF THE AREA WITH WINDS OVER THE SW GULF DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAILING OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE GULF EXCEPT FOR THE SW GULF WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 10-14 FT RANGE AND THE NW GULF WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE OVER THE NEXT DAY WITH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS BY THU AFTERNOON. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL PASS N OF THE AREA LATE FRI INTO SAT. THIS WILL RESULT IN NE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BEFORE DIMINISHING TO MODERATE FRESH SAT AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS SUNDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN MODEL GUIDANCE. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3/NWPS BLEND FOR SEA HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT WINDS TO GALE FORCE W OF THE FRONT AND S OF 18N WITH STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN W OF THE FRONT. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN E OF THE FRONT. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT...IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND 3-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN E OF THE FRONT. SEAS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE IN MIXED NORTHERLY SWELL. WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF S OF 18N WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT STARTS TO WEAKEN. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND WINDS IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WEAKENS. E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...NORTHERLY SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS TO 9 FT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU. TRADE WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE OFF COLOMBIA LATE THU THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH SUN AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRES WEAKENS AGAIN. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3/NWPS BLEND FOR SEA HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE FAR NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS E OF THE FRONT TO 73W AND N OF 30N WITH STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS W OF THE FRONT. ELSEWHERE E OF THE FRONT...STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS ARE FOUND N OF 27N. WINDS S OF 27N E OF THE FRONT ARE IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-14 FT RANGE N OF 27N ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT...AND 7-10 FT RANGE N OF 27N E OF 70W. SEAS S OF 27N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS ARE IN THE 7-8 FT RANGE WHILE SEAS W OF THE BAHAMAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT STARTS TO WEAKEN. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD TO EXTEND FROM 31N65W TO 22N77W ALONG THE COAST OF CUBA BY LATE THU...THEN WILL STALL AND WEAKEN THROUGH FRI WITH WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING. NE WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE FRI INTO SAT THROUGH THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE PASSES N OF THE AREA WHILE FRESH TO STRONG NE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED FROM BERMUDA TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING INTO SUN. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.