000
AGXX40 KNHC 261820
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
120 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS MODEL BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MODERATE LEVEL CONFIDENCE IN FIRST TWO DAYS DUE TO LOW PRES
MOVES...HIGHER CONFIDENCE DAY 3-5.

DEEPENING 1004 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 29N88W. WINDS TO GALE
FORCE ARE NOTED NEAR THE ALABAMA COAST AND A GALE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT ACCORDINGLY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG NLY WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WHOLE WESTERN
GULF...REACHING GALE FORCE S OF 24N AS THE COLDER AIR FILTERS
SOUTH OVER THE STILL RELATIVELY WARM GULF WATERS. GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE SW GULF OFF VERACRUZ. WINDS
AS SEAS DIMINISH INTO FRI AS STRONG HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT
WEAKENS. NE WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
LATE FRI INTO SAT AS A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE PASSES N OF THE
AREA.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES NE OF THE BAHAMAS WILL ALLOW TRADES TO INCREASE ACROSS
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TONIGHT AND EXTEND FROM WESTERN CUBA
TO HONDURAS EARLY WED WITH STRONG NW WIND AND BUILDING SEAS AS IT
MOVES ACROSS NW CARIBBEAN. THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM CENTRAL CUBA
TO NE NICARAGUA LATE WED. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH THU AND FRI AS
FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE. LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO IMPACT MOST OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONES THROUGH THU.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH
CONFIDENCE THROUGHOUT PERIOD EXCEPT WED DUE POSSIBLE GALES IN
AMZ111 AND AMZ113.

FRESH TO STRONG E WINDS THROUGH THE BAHAMAS WILL VEER E TO SE AND
INCREASE AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL REACH GALE
FORCE IN THE AREA N OF THE BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY EARLY THU THEN STALL FROM
31N65W TO EASTERN CUBA BY LATE THU. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH BEHIND
THE FRONT THROUGH LATE THU...THEN INCREASE FRI INTO SAT AS A
DISTURBANCE ALOFT PASSES N OF THE AREA.


$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO WED. 
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO WED NIGHT. 
AMZ113...GALE WARNING WED INTO WED NIGHT. 
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.