000 AGXX40 KNHC 251914 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 214 PM EST MON NOV 25 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS MODEL BLEND WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MODERATE LEVEL CONFIDENCE IN FIRST TWO DAYS DUE TO LOW PRES MOVES...HIGHER CONFIDENCE DAY 3-5. WEAK WARM FRONT EXTEND FROM N CUBA TO 26N95W THEN S TO 19N92W. LOW PRES INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES NE ACROSS N CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT WITH REINFORCING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SE ACROSS GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS FOLLOW FRONT WITH WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE IN WESTERN GULF S OF 26N W OF 94W TUE AND TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF AREA WED VEERING FRESH WINDS NE THEN TO A MODERATE E BREEZE BY FRI. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA PROMPTS FRESH E WINDS N OF 18N W OF 80W. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF BASIN THROUGH TONIGHT. BUILDING HIGH PRES NE OF BAHAMAS ALLOW TRADES TO INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE. STRONG COLD FRONT CROSS YUCATAN CHANNEL TUE NIGHT WITH STRONG NW WIND AND BUILDING SEAS AS IT MOVES ACROSS NW CARIBBEAN... STALLING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO NE NICARAGUA LATE WED. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH THU AND FRI AS FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE. NORTHERLY SWELLS EXPECTED NEAR ATLC PASSAGES IN NE CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGHOUT PERIOD EXCEPT WED DUE POSSIBLE GALES IN NORTHERN ZONES. COLD FRONT FROM 29N65W TO 24N80W WEAKENS AND BECOMES DIFFUSE AS IT REACH FROM 26N65W TO 24N77W TUE. WESTERN PORTION OF FRONT BEGINS MOVING N AS WARM FRONT THROUGH WED NIGHT AS LOW PRES OVER NW GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS AND MOVES NE DRAGGING ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS NW CARIBBEAN WED FOLLOWED BY FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS AND SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. SWATH OF STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE IN WAKE OF FRONT WED OVER PORTIONS OF N CENTRAL WATERS. FRONT WEAKENS LATE WED AND REACH FROM 31N68W TO W CENTRAL CUBA EARLY THU THEN FROM 28N65W TO EASTERN CUBA FRI. SEAS BUILD TO 8-10 FT MON AND TUE WITH LONG PERIOD N TO NE SWELL COVER WATERS E OF BAHAMAS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE WARNING TUE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING TUE AND TUE NIGHT. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TUE AND TUE NIGHT. AMZ113...GALE WARNING WED. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.