000 AGXX40 KNHC 130750 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 250 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS AND MWW3 USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WITH 1042 MB HIGH PRES BEHIND IT BLASTING STRONG COLD AIR ACROSS THE GULF REGION. AT 06OO UTC...THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR 27N82W TO JUST S OF TAMPICO MEXICO. THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW STRONG WINDS OF 25-30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS OF 35-40 KT SPREADING S ACROSS THE MEXICAN COAST. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOTED FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 96W. BUOY 42002 IN THE NW GULF IS REPORTING SEAS TO 13 FT. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES GMZ117... GMZ023 AND GMZ025. GALES WILL PERSIST IN THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH THU MORNING. THE WARNING ALSO INCLUDES FREQUENT GUSTS TO 40 KT. THE FRONT WILL RACE SE ACROSS THE GULF TODAY AND EXTEND ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS EVENING...THEN STALL ACROSS THE SAME AREA BY THU MORNING. THE FRONT WILL MOVE NWD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS A WEAK LOW PRES DEVELOPS ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FRONT OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY THU EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT AS HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT MOVES E. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS AND MWW3 USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. RECENT ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SOLID AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OF 30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. BUOY 42058 LOCATED NEAR 15N75W AND SHIP CALLSIGN C6FR3 ARE REPORTING SEAS OF 9-10 FT. HIGH PRES N OF AREA WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE BASIN...EXCEPT FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BY THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 11 FT IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THU MORNING THEN MOVE BACK TOWARD THE SE GULF WHILE DISSIPATING THU EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE N OF 19N-20N IN LEE OF CUBA TONIGHT AND EARLY THU WITH BUILDING SEAS TO 8-10 FT...HIGHEST NEAR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. FRESH WINDS AND EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SWELL WILL KEEP SEAS 8-9 FT IN TROPICAL N ATLC TODAY BEFORE THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THU. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGH DAY 3 THEN GEFS MEAN. BROAD TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 30N70W TO 22N76W WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT SE THROUGH TODAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES SE ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT HAS ALREADY ENTERED THE NW CORNER OF THE FORECAST REGION AND NOW EXTENDS FROM 31N75W TO FLORIDA NEAR 29N81W. STRONG TO GALE FORCE NLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS TO 14-15 FT WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT...WHICH WILL REACH FROM 31N62W TO CENTRAL CUBA THIS EVENING AND FROM 25N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA THU MORNING WHERE IT IS FORECAST TO STALL AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE SE WATERS. THE GFS CONTINUES TO INDICATE A SOLID AREA OF 25-30 KT NLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS ZONES AMZ111 AND AMZ113 TODAY BUT PARTICULARLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THE FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO. HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THU AND FRI AND THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL HUG CLOSER TO THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH SE WATERS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE SE IN NW WATERS AS THE HIGH MOVES AWAY. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO THU. GMZ025...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TODAY. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.