000 AGXX40 KNHC 031906 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 206 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE COLD FRONT...THAT BROUGHT GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE SW GULF YESTERDAY...IS CURRENTLY SE OF AREA AND EXTENDS FROM WESTERN CUBA ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS WAS STILL NOTED THIS MORNING PER LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA OVER THE SW WATERS WITH SEAS TO 11 FT. BUOY 42055 LOCATED NEAR 22N94W CONTINUES TO REPORT SEA HEIGHTS OF 8-10 FT. THE 1600 UTC ASCAT PASS SHOWS FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SE WATERS...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WHERE WINDS OF 25-30 KT ARE BLOWING. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED N OF AREA WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE GULF REGION... PARTICULARLY E OF 90W TODAY THROUGH TUE. MARINE GUIDANCE INDICATES NE TO E WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 9 FT. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH ON WED AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NW WATERS WED NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SE AND EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE THU. WINDS MAY REACH GALE FORCE BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS ZONES GMZ017 AND GMZ023 BY LATE THU. FOR NOW...THE FORECAST SHOWS NLY WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH RAISING SEAS TO 11 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N75W. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS WELL DEFINED ON SCATTEROMETER PASSES...WITH MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS. THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WEAK AND DRIFT TO THE SW OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS REACHING A POSITION NEAR 14N77W PER THE MEDIUM RANGE COORDINATION. A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS AT 1800 UTC. FRESH TO STRONG NELY WINDS ARE BLOWING BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THEN WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN LEE OF CUBA TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...COURTESY OF STRONG HIGH PRES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRIFT SE THROUGH MON THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO NEAR CAYMAN ISLANDS TUE AND WED. OTHERWISE...EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE E TO SE TRADES ACROSS TROPICAL N ATLC NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MIXED SWELL KEEPING SEAS 5-7 FT TODAY AND SLOWLY SUBSIDING. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT HAS SLOWED PROGRESSION ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BUT CONTINUES PROGRESS ACROSS THE SW ATLC. AT 03/1800 UTC...THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL CUBA. NW TO N WINDS OF 15-20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS WIND VEERS MORE N THEN FRESHEN THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...WITH SEAS BUILDING QUICKLY. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO REACH FROM 31N68W TO EAST-CENTRAL CUBA MON MORNING... FROM 26N65W TO EASTERN CUBA BY TUE MORNING...THEN WEAKEN OVER SE WATERS BY WED. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF FRONT WILL RESULT IN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 13 FT OUTSIDE OF BAHAMAS IN NE SWELL. POTENTIAL FOR GALES OCCURRING BEHIND FRONT AND JUST N OF AREA TUE NIGHT TO SPREAD S AND SW INTO CENTRAL ATLC WATERS. THE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO RELAX OVER THE NW WATERS LATE WED AND THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THU WITH RESIDUAL NE SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.