000 AGXX40 KNHC 241731 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 131 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF WATERS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO JUST N OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. TSTM ACTIVITY IS MAINLY CONFINED TO SE OF THE FRONT...WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS/RAIN ARE OVER RUNNING THE FRONT WITHIN 120-240 NM NW OF THE BOUNDARY. GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WERE OCCURRING IN THE FAR SW GULF S OF 21N W OF 93W HAVE DIMINISHED TO 20-30 KT...WITH MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SEAS ARE UP TO 7-10 FT IN THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS...WITH 3-6 FT SEAS ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE GULF. THE FRONT WILL START TO SAG TO THE SE-S AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH THE EASTERN PORTION SLIPPING S OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...AND THE SOUTHERN/WESTERN PORTION GRADUALLY DISSIPATING EARLY THIS WEEKEND OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AS HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO BUILD DOWN FROM THE N. A BELT OF FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE ENTIRE CENTRAL GULF WHICH WITH 7-10 FT SEAS FROM 22N TO 26N THIS WEEKEND...DIMINISHING SUN AND MON AS THE HIGH TO THE N SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA TO THE NE. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY N OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL IS FORECAST TO SAG SOUTH INTO THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... STALLING OUT ALONG 20N BY THIS WEEKEND WHERE IT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF WHICH IS ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 78W BEHIND THE WAVE. A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS ANCHORED JUST N OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS ENHANCING A TROUGH/TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF HISPANIOLA WITH HEAVY CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS HAITI. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE HAS BREACHED THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM THE ANEGADA PASSAGE SE-S TO NEAR 10N60W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 90-120 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS. OVERALL...MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EASTERLY WINDS DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN BASIN ALONG WITH 4-7 FT SEAS. LITTLE CHANGE IN THESE CONDITIONS IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS ARE PRESENT IN THE WAKE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS EXITING THE AREA TO THE W. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION EXTENDING E OF 55W LATER TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL BUILD SEAS TO 7-9 FT FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STALLING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N69W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 120 NM SE OF THE FRONT. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS DOMINATE THE BASIN EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT...EXCEPT LIGHT AND VARIABLE SE OF THE FRONT OVER THE BAHAMAS. MEANWHILE SEAS ARE 3-6 FT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL FROM NEAR 31N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND CENTRAL CUBA BY FRI. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WILL SET UP W OF THE FRONT S OF 27N AS REINFORCING HIGH PRES BUILDS DOWN FROM THE W-NW. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY CAUSE THE FRONT TO SHIFT TO THE SE WHILE BECOMING DIFFUSE THIS WEEKEND. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE E OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH DIMINISHING WINDS TO MODERATE/LOCALLY FRESH LEVELS W OF IT BY SAT AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.