000
AGXX40 KNHC 160554
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
154 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT
RANGE. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY ALLOWING
A COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST INTO THE NW GULF LATER
TODAY. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR SE LOUISIANA TO S TEXAS THU
AND FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO S TEXAS FRI AND FROM THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND TO S TEXAS SAT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL MOVE SLOWLY W-NW ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH EARLY TODAY THEN
MOVE ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN SEA LATER TODAY BEFORE BECOMING
DIFFUSE FRI. OTHERWISE A WEAK PRES GRADIENT AND LIGHT TO MODERATE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ELY WINDS 10-15 KT OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH
5-10 KT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT
RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND 2-3 FT
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N71W TO CENTRAL CUBA WITH LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SEAS IN THE 3-5
FT RANGE E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. WIND AND
SEAS WILL BE HIGHER IN TSTMS MAINLY IN THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA.
TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS MUCH OF THE WEEK THEN
DISSIPATE BY SAT AS A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA FROM
THE EAST. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.