000 AGXX40 KNHC 140605 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. CURRENTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. SEAS ARE 3-4 FT OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN GULF. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK MAINTAINING THE RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH SEAS 3-4 FT. GENTLE TO LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN GULF WITH SEAS REMAINING 1-2 FT. THE RIDGE WILL START TO MOVE EASTWARD BY TUE. THIS WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST INTO THE NW GULF WED. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION TO NE MEXICO BY LATE THU. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND 3-4 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC IN A MIX OF NE AND E SWELL. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY THEN MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WED. THE WAVE WILL NOT HAVE A SIGNIFICANT AFFECT ON THE WINDS AND SEAS. LOW PRESSURE CENTER E OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE WEAKENING. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH TUE NIGHT INTO WED WHILE MOVING INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH THU THEN MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS LATE THU. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 28N65W TO THE SE BAHAMAS WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE BEING PUSHED WESTWARD BY A SURFACE RIDGE THAT BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN WEAK OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.