000
AGXX40 KNHC 111830
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE N PART OF THE AREA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF
THE GULF WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF WATERS. SEAS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE GULF ARE IN THE
2-3 FT RANGE AND 1-2 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. THE
RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE N PART OF THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD
MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE RETURN FLOW OVER THE WEST PART OF
THE GULF WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS
COAST TUE NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WHILE A
SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER
THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WITH THE
HIGHEST SEAS OVER THE N PART OF THE AREA WHERE NE SWELLS ARE
PROPAGATING. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN AND 3-4 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA BY SAT. THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SAT...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN...AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN MON. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE AREA. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH TONIGHT AND
MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE AREA WITH LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND SEAS IN THE
4-7 FT RANGE IN NE SWELL PREVAILING E OF THE BAHAMAS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.