000 AGXX40 KNHC 160656 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 256 AM EDT MON SEP 16 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THE MAIN SYNOPTIC FEATURE OF CONCERN OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH TODAY IS HURRICANE INGRID WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 96.5W AT 0300 UTC WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KT GUSTING TO 85 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 989 MB. INGRID IS FORECAST MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL THEN DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER INLAND AND WEAKENS. OUTSIDE THE INFLUENCE OF INGRID...HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE SE CONUS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE NE TO E BREEZE WITH SEAS 1-3 OVER THE FAR NORTHEASTERN GULF AND 3-5 FT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF BASIN. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP AND BUOY DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE SW N ATLC WATERS WILL WEAKEN BY MIDWEEK WHICH WILL DIMINISH TRADEWIND FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS FALLING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE AREA WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE FAR SE PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP AND BUOY DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE WATERS S OF 22N AND GENTLE WINDS OVER THE WATERS N OF 22N. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE S OF 22N AND 3-5 FT N OF 22N. W OF THE BAHAMAS SEAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE. THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE SE PART THROUGH TUE BEFORE DISSIPATING. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN BY MIDWEEK. OVERALL A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...HURRICANE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO MON NIGHT. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.