000
AGXX40 KNHC 110640
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
240 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH MODERATE
CONFIDENCE

RIDGE OF HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA PREVAILS OVER THE GULF COAST.
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WNW. THIS TROUGH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY...AND ENTER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE ON THU. A LOW PRES AREA IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
TROUGH OVER THE SW GULF LATER IN THE WEEK...THEN INTENSIFY SLOWLY
THROUGH SUN AS IT DRIFTS NW.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE

BROAD TROUGH PREVAILS N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CARIBBEAN...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
CONTINUING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU.
RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SW N ATLC LATE IN THE WEEK AND MAINTAIN
MODERATE PRES GRADIENT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH FRESH E
WINDS EXPECTED FRI THROUGH SUN.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE IS N OF THE FORECAST AREA AND MOVING
NORTH. WINDS AND SEA ARE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE FAR NE PORTION OF
THE AREA. GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION. A
WEAK PRES PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE E
WINDS S OF 22N THROUGH TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THU AND
FRI.
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.