000
AGXX40 KNHC 251903
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
303 PM EDT TUE JUN 25 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF BLEND WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 29N/30N MAINTAIN STEADY E-SE GENTLE TO 
MODERATE BREEZE ACROSS BASIN E OF 95W WITH WINDS INCREASING TO
FRESH W OF 95W BY WED AND THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.  RIDGE DRIFT S
AND REACH 26N FRI WITH WINDS DIMINISHING TO A LIGHT TO GENTLE
BREEZE AND SEAS 2-3 FT BY SUN. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
TIGHT PRES GRADIENT MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 8
FT OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DUE TO 1023 MB HIGH PRES
CENTER N OF AREA. RIDGE WEAKENS AND IS FORCED E BY INCOMING WEAK
COLD FRONT EFFECTIVELY DIMINISHING TRADES TO A FRESH BREEZE BY
THU-FRI.  

TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES TROPICAL ATLC BY FRI WITH  INCREASE IN
NE WINDS AND SEAS BUILDING TO 6-7 FT BY SAT OR SUN.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...               
MODEL PREFERENCE: MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE
THROUGH SAT WHEN WINDS INCREASE NW CORNER OF BASIN AND SEAS BUILD
TO 7-8 FT JUST N OF 31N.

ATLC RIDGE ALONG 30N COVERS ENTIRE BASIN WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE
E-SE BREEZE AND SEAS 2-4 FT. RIDGE FORCED SE BY WEAK COLD FRONT
OFF CAROLINAS COAST THU WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN S FLOW W OF 77W AS
TAIL END OF COLD FRONT APPROACHES 31N W OF 76W SAT AND SUN. MODEL
GUIDANCE STILL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER AND WITH
MARINE REPORTS. MAIN CHANGE IS UNCERTAIN AS FRONT APPROACHES 31N
OVER THE WEEKEND.

TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE LITTLE IMPACT OVER WINDS OR SEAS AFTER
WED.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.