000
AGXX40 KNHC 240630
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

REMARKABLY PERSISTENT BENIGN SYNOPTIC PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH 
WEAK RIDGE STRETCHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS WILL PREVAIL 
THROUGH FRI. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. LITTLE CHANGE 
FROM THE CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED DURING NEXT 4-5 DAYS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH 
HIGHEST WINDS TO 30 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. MODEL GUIDANCE 
INDICATES THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE AS HIGH 
PRES REMAINS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR BERMUDA. HIGH PRES WILL 
SLIGHTLY WEAKEN TUE NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI. EXPECT 8-10
FT SEAS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 60W WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN LATER THIS MORNING
AND REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
50W WILL CROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC TONIGHT AND TUE...MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN WED...THEN WEAKEN IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU
AND FRI. MARINE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A SMALL AREA OF 20-25 KT
WINDS AND SEAS OF UP TO 10 FT WILL ACCOMPANY THE WAVE THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. E OF THE WAVE ALONG 50W...NO WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVES
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA THROUGH MID-WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...               
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

REMARKABLY PERSISTENT BENIGN SYNOPTIC PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH 
RIDGE STRETCHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS FROM BERMUDA TO 
NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRI. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT. LITTLE CHANGE FROM CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN IS 
EXPECTED DURING NEXT 4-5 DAYS.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.