000 AGXX40 KNHC 211854 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 254 PM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF T.S. BARRY STILL LINGER IN EXTREME SW BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED BUT DOWNBURST FROM CONVECTION MAY DETERIORATE CONDITIONS MOMENTARILY. ELSEWHERE...WEAK RIDGE ALONG 27N DRIFT N TO ALONG 30N AND MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE BREEZE THROUGH TUE. TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS SW N ATLC AND GREATER ANTILLES EXPECTED TO ENTER NE GULF WATERS LATE IN WEEKEND INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS. FORECAST IS WEAKER AND SLOWER THAN GFS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF BASIN WITH HIGHEST WINDS IN CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 68W AND 82W. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W MOVING THROUGH GREATER ANTILLES CROSSES NW CARIBBEAN LATE TONIGHT AND EXIT REGION LATE SUN. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE FOLLOWED CLOSER THAN ABOVE PARAGRAPH AS SOUTHERN PORTION OF WAVE MOVING FASTER. SECOND AND WEAKER TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO ENTER TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS S OF 16N SUN AND MOVE INTO EASTERN CARIBBEAN MON. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN TROPICAL WAVE INTENSITY AND TRACK. BROAD RIDGE ALONG 28N DRIFT N TO 31N AS TROPICAL WAVE CREST MOVES NW INTO FLORIDA THROUGH WEEKEND. MODERATE TO FRESH E-SE BREEZE OVER REMAINING OF REGION. GFS BRINGS WAVE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO NE GULF OF MEXICO...MOST OTHER GUIDANCE SLOWER AND WEAKER WAVE. BLEND BRINGS WAVE INTO GULF AT A SLOWER AND WEAKER RATE WITH SEAS 5-6 FT. ELSEWHERE...MODERATE E-SE BREEZE W OF 75W WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE E TRADES E OF 75W THROUGH SUN WITH SEAS TO 4-5 FT E OF BAHAMAS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.