000
AGXX40 KNHC 210700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 AM EDT FRI JUN 21 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 8-10 HOURS AGO SHOWS FRESH E WINDS IN 
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY 
OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH FURTHER DURING 
THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS AS REMNANTS OF BARRY DISSIPATE OVER LAND. 
ELSEWHERE...A WEAK RIDGE ALONG 27N WILL DRIFT N TO ALONG 30N AND 
MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL 
WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES IS EXPECTED TO 
ENTER NE GULF WATERS SAT NIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN GUSTY WINDS 
AND SEAS STRONG CONVECTION POSSIBLE LATE SAT THROUGH MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF BASIN WITH HIGHEST 
WINDS CONTINUING IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 68W AND 80W. 
ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 0230 UTC SHOWED 25-30 KT WINDS N OF 
THE GULF OF VENEZUELA NEAR 14N71W. ALTIMETER PASS THU AFTERNOON 
SHOWED 10-11 FT SEAS IN THIS AREA. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74/75W 
MOVING THROUGH THE GREATER ANTILLES WILL REACH THE NW CARIBBEAN 
LATE TONIGHT AND EXIT THE REGION SUN AFTERNOON. MODEL GUIDANCE 
INDICATES THE WAVE WILL MOVE W-NW THROUGH SUN AFFECTING MAINLY 
WATERS N OF 17N. WEAKER TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO ENTER TROPICAL 
N ATLC WATERS S OF 16N EARLY SUN AND MOVE INTO EASTERN CARIBBEAN 
LATE SUN AND MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...               
     
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST WITH GFS AND 
ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

BROAD RIDGE ALONG 28N WILL DRIFT N TO ALONG 31N THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH E-NE TRADES OVER MOST OF 
THE REGION...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74W. 
WAVE EXPECTED TO REACH CENTRAL CUBA AND NW BAHAMAS LATE TONIGHT 
AND MOVE W OF FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE SAT. GLOBAL MODELS IN 
REASONABLE AGREEMENT IN WAVE POSITION. FRESH E-SE WINDS EXPECTED 
BEHIND WAVE S OF 24N AS IT MOVES W-NW THROUGH SAT... WITH SEAS 
BUILDING TO 7-8 FT E AND NE OF THE BAHAMAS.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.