000
AGXX40 KNHC 091755
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST GFS 
AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF FROM THE W ATLC. SOUTHEASTERLY 
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN WITH 3-4 FT 
SEAS...EXCEPT 4-5 FT IN THE CENTRAL PART. THESE CONDITIONS WILL 
PERSIST WITH LITTLE CHANGE INTO EARLY MON. A WEAK HIGH WILL FORM 
IN THE NE GULF TUE ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS IN THE NE PORTION 
WHILE MODERATE E-SE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH FRI. SEAS 
WILL BE 1-3 FT IN THE NE GULF INITIALLY AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE... 
THEN 1-3 FT SPREADING TO THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF BY MID-WEEK AS 
THE HIGH DEVELOPS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING WILL PERSIST N OF THE BASIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... 
AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC. EXPECT DIURNAL VARIABILITY OF WINDS IN GULF OF HONDURAS TO 
20 KT LATE AT NIGHT THROUGH FRI. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN 
PORTION OF TROPICAL N ATLC WILL MOVE INLAND OVER VENEZUELA MON 
AND TIGHTEN THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... 
ALLOWING WINDS TO INCREASE TO CLOSE TO 30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF 
COLOMBIA BY MID-WEEK. A WEAKER TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE 
TROPICAL N ATLC LATE IN THE WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA DOMINATES 
THE BASIN...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A 
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 69W WILL MOVE NW AROUND WESTERN PERIPHERY OF 
THE RIDGE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO A REMNANT TROUGH NEAR FLORIDA. 
SCATTERED MODERATE-STRONG SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING AT THE NORTHERN 
PORTION OF THE WAVE. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH WINDS NEAR 
THE WAVE WITH 8-10 FT SEAS IN E SWELL MAINLY E OF THE WAVE AXIS. 
WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WILL DIMINISH THROUGH 
TUE WHILE ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST N OF 23-24N.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.