000
AGXX40 KNHC 090653
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
253 AM EDT SUN JUN 9 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST GFS 
AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF FROM THE ATLC. SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE SE-S 10-15 KT WINDS
ACROSS THE BASIN...ALONG WITH 2-4 FT SEAS...EXCEPT 3-5 FT IN THE
CENTRAL PART. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH LITTLE CHANGE
INTO EARLY MON. A NEW HIGH WILL FORM IN THE NE CORNER OF THE GULF
ALLOWING FOR LIGHT WINDS IN THE NE PORTION WITH MAINLY MODERATE
ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. SEAS WILL BE 1-3 FT IN THE NE
GULF TO START THE WEEK OFF AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE...THEN 1-3 FT
SPREADING TO THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF BY MIDWEEK AS THE HIGH
DEVELOPS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING WILL PERSIST N OF THE BASIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...
AND MODERATE TO FRESH ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE TROPICAL N ATLC.
EARLY MORNING ASCAT DATA INDICATED FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE
GULF OF HONDURAS...ALTHOUGH THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY TO FRESH DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS. 

A TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL
N ATLC WILL APPROACH THE E CARIBBEAN LATE MON NIGHT...WHILE MOVING
INLAND OVER S AMERICA THEREAFTER. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRES
GRADIENT ALLOWING FOR WINDS TO INCREASE TO CLOSE TO 30 KT NEAR THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA BY MIDWEEK. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH
THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA DOMINATES THE
BASIN...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE A TROPICAL WAVE WHICH IS
CURRENTLY MOVING W-NW AROUND 15 KT IN THE BASIN S OF 25N BETWEEN
65W AND 70W. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING NEAR THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE. BUOY AND REMOTE SENSED DATA SHOW MAINLY FRESH
WINDS NEAR THE WAVE...HOWEVER 8-10 FT SEAS IN SE SWELL ARE STILL
ACCOMPANYING IT. THE WAVE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DAMPEN OUT AND
WEAKEN TO A REMNANT TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
BY 48 HOURS...WITH ANY LINGERING SWELL SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT
BY LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.