000
AGXX40 KNHC 241747
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
147 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH 
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

THE 12Z GLOBAL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH EACH OTHER AS WELL AS 
WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM 
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN 
MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COASTAL PLAIN NEXT WEEK. WINDS AND 
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR AT LEAST 
THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...                                              
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH 
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS MOVING 
ACROSS VENEZUELA AND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT 
WEAK. ALTIMETER DATA SHOWS REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE INITIAL 
MWW3 FIELDS. SEAS IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC ARE EXPECTED TO 
REMAIN NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH TUESDAY.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH 
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

THE MAIN FEATURE IS THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE 
FLORIDA COAST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. THE WINDS WILL 
SHIFT IN DIRECTION...AND INCREASE IN SPEED BEHIND THE FRONT. THE 
WIND AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA IN 
THE SW N ATLC THROUGH TUE. 
 
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.