000
AGXX40 KNHC 231730
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

A RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 30N FROM THE WESTERN ATLC ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN GULF TO THE TEXAS COAST WILL BE BRIEFLY INTERRUPTED BY 
A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE EXTREME NE GULF FRI THEN REDEVELOP  
AS THE FRONT MOVES E. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY IN 
THE NE GULF AS HIGH PRES BUILDS BEHIND THE FRONT. E-NE WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN THE GULF OF CAMPECHE THIS WEEKEND AS A 
TROUGH AMPLIFIES W OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BETWEEN 90W AND 95W.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...                                              
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

HIGH PRES N-NE OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN MOSTLY MODERATE TRADE 
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MON. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W 
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC FRI AND  
INTO VENEZUELA SAT. FRESH E-NE WINDS EXPECTED FRI AND SAT NEAR 
THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL DIMINISH SAT NIGHT AND SUN AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE SW N ATLANTIC WEAKENS THE RIDGE N OF THE 
CARIBBEAN. STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDS NE OF REGION SUN THROUGH TUE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH
PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 31N WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRI. SE 
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD A COLD FRONT THE WILL MOVE OFF THE 
SOUTHERN GEORGIA COAST FRI INTO NW WATERS FRI EVENING. THE FRONT 
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD SAT...BECOMING STATIONARY SAT 
NIGHT THEN WEAKENING INTO A TROUGH SUN AND MON. EXPECT BRIEF 
PERIOD OF FRESH N-NE WINDS IMMEDIATELY BEHIND FRONT N OF 30N 
FRI NIGHT THAT WILL INCREASE SEAS TO 6-7 FT.
 
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.