000
AGXX40 KNHC 171813
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                         
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECWMF BLEND WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC HIGH PRES CENTER HAS RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS FLORIDA INTO 
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. GENTLE TO MODERAT E TO SE 
BREEZES ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN THROUGH WED. SE TO S RETURN FLOW 
INCREASE TO A FRESH BREEZE W OF 96W BETWEEN RIDGE AND DEVELOPING 
STATIONARY TROUGH OVER MEXICO AND TEXAS.  OTHERWISE WEAK PRES
GRADIENT WITH LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TRADE WINDS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH LATE FRI WITH A TEMPORARY
SURGE AGAIN LATE SUN. OTHERWISE GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PERSIST
ACROSS REMAINDER OF BASIN. TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 51W
APPROACHES TROPICAL ATLC LATE SUN WITH WINDS SHIFTING NE AND
INCREASING ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... 
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC HIGH PRES CENTER 1023 MB AT 29N68W DRIFT E OF AREA BY SAT
WITH RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 29N THROUGH EARLY WED.  LIGHT TO
MODERATE E TO SE WINDS N OF 25N AND MODERATE TO FRESH FLOW S OF
25N.

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.