000 AGXX40 KNHC 041447 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1047 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLENDED GFS INTO PREVIOUS OFFICIAL GRIDS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO 27N86W WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SLOWLY E THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NW GULF EARLY SUN...THEN QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS THROUGH LATE SUN FOLLOWED BY FRESH TO STRONG WINDS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF THE AREA MON THROUGH WED AS WEAK HIGH PRES SETTLES OVER THE GULF WATERS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS OFFICIAL GRIDS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE LIGHT WINDS AND VERY CALM SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH SEAS OF AROUND 2-3 FT. THE EXCEPTION IS IN THE FAR WRN PORTION OF THE CARIBBEAN WHERE NW FLOW FUNNELING IN FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH NW WINDS OF 20-25 KT N OF 19N AND W OF 84W AND THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. EXPECT THIS NW FLOW TO DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT TONIGHT INTO SUN WITH SEAS THERE LOWERING TO 5-6 FT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED INTO PREVIOUS OFFICIAL GRIDS WITH AVERAGE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE N WATERS AND A 1006 MB LOW PRES LOCATED NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND LARGE SEAS ACROSS MUCH OF THE N PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE LOW PRES WILL DRIFT TO NE FLORIDA TONIGHT...AND TO ACROSS SE GEORGIA SUN. A FRONTAL TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL ALSO LIFT IN N THROUGH TONIGHT REACHING FROM NEAR 31N80W TO 25N73W SUN...AND THE NE WATERS BY MON WITH AS A WEAK PRES PATTERN SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NW AND N CENTRAL WATERS LATE MON AND TUE. LONG PERIOD NE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.