000 AGXX40 KNHC 261824 CCA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 225 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013 CORRECTED FOR DISCLAIMER MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... FRESH TO STRONG N WINDS OBSERVED BY BUOYS...SHIPS AND PLATFORMS IN THE GULF THIS MORNING ARE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH FROM N TO S FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT THAT IS NOW WELL SE OF THE AREA. THE GFS SEEMS TO BE DOING A REASONABLY GOOD JOB WITH THE WINDS. THE MWW3 IS SUBSIDING THE SEAS A BIT FASTER THAN THE OBSERVATIONS SHOW...ESPECIALLY IN THE NE GULF. THEREFORE... BEEFED UP THE 1200 UTC MWW3 OUTPUT A BIT TO BE MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVATIONS. THE 0000 UTC EC WAVE MODEL WAS CLOSER TO THE OBSERVATIONS. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WED MORNING AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA AGAIN THROUGH SAT. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... A COLD FRONT WAS ANALYZED FROM 31N61W INTO CENTRAL CUBA THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE FOUND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OBSERVED BY THE 1056 UTC WINDSAT PASS ARE BEGINNING TO SHIFT N OF THE AREA ACCORDING TO THE 1458 UTC AND 1310 UTC ASCAT PASSES. HOWEVER...THESE ASCAT PASSES LIKELY MISSED THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS IMMEDIATELY W OF THE FRONT TO 67W N OF 30N. WINDS AND SEAS OVER WESTERN WATERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH/SUBSIDE WED THROUGH THU WHILE MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS WILL PREVAIL OVER NE WATERS WED THROUGH FRI AS A SERIES OF MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSES ROTATE THROUGH THE MEAN TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. ON SAT....HIGH PRES MOVES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NW WATERS. THIS SHOULD TAME THE WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 22N W OF 55W... A RETREATING CENTRAL ATLC RIDGE ALONG 23N WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE 1502 UTC SHOWED SOME STRONG NE TO E TRADE WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE MODELS WERE INITIALIZED SLIGHTLY WEAK HERE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY SE AND STALL FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE NICARAGUAN COAST LATE WED THEN DISSIPATE THU. THE ASCAT PASS SHOWS STRONG N-NE WINDS SEEPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN BEHIND THE FRONT. THE 1200 UTC GFS SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE LARGER EXTENT OF STRONG WINDS THAN THE 0000 UTC ECMWF. THE MWW3 ALSO APPEARS TO BE DOING A REASONABLY GOOD JOB WITH SEAS INITIALLY...BUT MAY BE A BIT UNDERDONE IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WHERE THE N WIND IS OPPOSING THE CURRENT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE FOUND NEAR THE E SIDE OF THE FRONT. LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING TO WANE HERE. CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE STABLE NEAR THE BOUNDARY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL BUILD IN THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WED NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT AS WELL AS IN THE MONA PASSAGE AND ALONG THE S COAST OF HISPANIOLA ON FRI. TRADES WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AS HIGH PRES MOVES IN BEHIND THE TROUGH FRI AND SAT. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. EFFECTIVE 20 MARCH 2013...TAFB GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS FOR 10M WINDS...10M WIND GUSTS...SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS AND HAZARDS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) ON AN EXPERIMENTAL BASIS AT: HTTP://PREVIEW.WEATHER.GOV/GRAPHICAL ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIFICATION/PNS13OFFSHORE_HIGHSEAS.HTM NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE WILL BE DISCONTINUED ONCE THE "OCEANIC" VIEW IS ADDED TO THE EXPERIMENTAL NDFD GRAPHICAL INTERFACE. $$ FORECASTER SCHAUER