000 AGXX40 KNHC 091845 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 145 PM EST SAT FEB 9 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. IS SUPPORTING MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. SCATTEROMETER AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW 10-15 KT WINDS OVER MOST OF THE AREA WITH 15 KT WINDS EVIDENT IN THE NE GULF AND N OF 24N W OF 93W. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE TEXAS COAST SUN NIGHT...THEN STALL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING N OF THE BOUNDARY TUE WILL PUSH THE FRONT ACROSS THE GULF AS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THU...WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS EXPECTED W OF THE FRONT. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 8-9 FT BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE WRN GULF EARLY WED...THEN SUBSIDE TO AROUND 5-6 FT THU. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 22N W OF 55W... SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS MOSTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHEST WINDS ARE 15-20 KT S OF 16N E OF 60W AND 20 TO 25 KT FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 73W-77W. A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT IN THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE...AND BRING 20-25 KT NE WINDS TO THE SW CARIBBEAN AND NE-E 20 KT WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE NW AND N CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN THROUGH MON BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 10-15 KT MON NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 6 AND 9 FT. LONG PERIOD NW-N SWELLS WILL REACH THE NE CARIBBEAN ATLC PASSAGES AND NW PORTION OF TROPICAL N ATLC MON EVENING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9-12 FT. THESE SWELLS THEN CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SE ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL TROPICAL N ATLC TUE THROUGH THU. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N62W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO NORTHERN CUBA. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS 20-25 KT S-SW WINDS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF 28N...AND FRESH TO STRONG W-NW WINDS N OF 28N W OF THE FRONT TO 77W. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC THROUGH MON NIGHT WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN THEN TRANSITION INTO A SHEAR LINE THROUGH MON...WITH 20-25 KT N-NE WINDS EXPECTED WITHIN 400 NM NW OF THE SHEAR LINE. STRONG HIGH PRES WILL SHIFT SE ACROSS THE REGION MON THROUGH TUE...ALLOWING RETURN FLOW TO SET UP OVER NW WATERS. SE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT WED AS LOW PRES ALONG A FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TRACKS NE OVER GEORGIA AND DEEPENS. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT N OF 29N W OF 75W WED THEN SHIFT RAPIDLY EAST THU AHEAD OF THE FRONT. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL