000 AGXX40 KNHC 130735 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 235 AM EST SUN JAN 13 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SE WINDS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE ACROSS THE GULF THIS MORNING BETWEEN A STATIONARY 1022 MB HIGH PRES AREA CENTERED NEAR 30N78W AND A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH COASTAL TEXAS. AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE OBSERVED OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE NW GULF LATER THIS MORNING...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS MAINLY N OF 28N OFF THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS. THE FRONT WILL SLOW AS IT SHIFTS EAST...REACHING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA TO THE SW GULF NEAR 18N94W BY LATE TUE...BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY BY WED. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ALONG THE FAR WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH LATE TODAY THROUGH EARLY MON...THEN DIMINISHING INTO TUE. THE REPRIEVE WILL BE SHORT LIVED. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL DIG THROUGH TEXAS TUE AND WED...AND WILL DELIVER A REINFORCING SHOT INTO THE WESTERN GULF BY WED. NORTHERLY WINDS MAY REACH GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ IN THE FAR SW GULF BY WED NIGHT AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR SWEEPS SOUTHWARD. WITH THE REINFORCING PUSH...THE FRONT WILL SHIFT SE...REACHING FROM THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA TO THE WESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA BY FRI. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... A BROAD COMPLEX LOW PRES SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE N CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 38N45W IS PRODUCING STRONG NW WINDS ACROSS THE AREA W OF 60W. BUOYS ARE SHOWING ASSOCIATED N TO NE SWELL WITH HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 12 FT FROM 70W TO 65W...AND FROM 12 TO 20 FT E OF 65W WITH PERIODS OF 10 TO 15 SECONDS. NORTHERLY SWELL OF 8 TO 10 FT WITH PERIODS TO 14 SECONDS HAS ALREADY REACHED THE ISLANDS FROM PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE LEEWARDS...AND A SECOND ROUND IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY LATE TODAY TO INCLUDE THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA...THE TCI...AND THE SE BAHAMAS. 1023 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED 30N75W IS MAINTAINING FAIRLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS IN MOST AREAS E OF 60W...ALTHOUGH SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE FRESH TRADES S OF 22N FROM OFF THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO TO EASTERN CUBA. THE 8 FT OR HIGHER SWELL WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MON...AND BE RELEGATED TO THE WATERS E OF 60W BY LATE TUE. THE HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE NEAR BERMUDA MON THROUGH WED...MAINTAINING THE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES S OF 22N...BUT WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SE FLOW ELSEWHERE S OF 28N AND LIGHT SW FLOW OF 28N. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST BY LATE THU...THEN STALLING FROM 31N75W TO 30N80W BY FRI. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 22N W OF 55W...HIGH PRES CENTER 1023 MB CENTERED BETWEEN THE NW BAHAMAS AND BERMUDA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER THE SW AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...PARTICULARLY OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK. MEANWHILE NORTHERLY SWELL WITH HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 11 FT AND PERIODS OF 10 TO 15 SECONDS PUSHING INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND THROUGH THE ATLC PASSAGES INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. A SECOND SWELL GROUP WILL PENETRATE THE PASSAGES AGAIN TONIGHT AS NORTHERLY SWELL SWEEPS THE ENTIRE AREA BETWEEN THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS AND 55W. MODERATE TO FRESH NE TRADES WILL PULSE INTO THE ATLC APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD AND MONA PASSAGES THROUGH MID WEEK. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .GALE WARNING EXPECTED GMZ017 WED...AND GMZ023 THU. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN