000 AGXX40 KNHC 051904 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EST MON NOV 05 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT FRONT FROM NW FLORIDA NEAR 29N83W TO 27N87W TO HOUSTON TEXAS. LATEST SHIP AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 1 TO 2 FT OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA AND 2 TO 3 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER FORMING OVER THE NE GULF BY TUE MORNING...WHICH WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT INTO THE SW N ATLC WATERS BY TUE NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE GULF WATERS TUE...MOVING E OF THE AREA BY WED MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE GULF WATERS THROUGH FRI IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... HIGH PRES IS CENTERED OVER THE N PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SHIP AND BUOY DATA INDICATE 15 KT WINDS OVER THE NW PART OF THE AREA AND MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE RIDGE. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 3 TO 4 FT OVER THE W PART OF THE AREA AND 4 TO 6 FT OVER THE E PART OF THE AREA...WITH SEAS 1 TO 2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE AREA OF HIGH PRES WILL MOVE E TODAY WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE FAR NW PART OF THE FORECAST FROM 31N79W TO N FLORIDA. THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE. A LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL FORM OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO BY TUE MORNING. THE LOW WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE FAR NW PART OF THE AREA TUE AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N72W TO W CUBA WED MORNING...FROM NEAR 31N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA THU MORNING...AND FROM 31N61W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE FRI MORNING. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... LATEST SHIP AND BUOY DATA INDICATE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND WITH MODERATE TRADEWIND FLOW ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS AREA GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...3 TO 5 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND 5 TO 6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON EARLY WED. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO CENTRAL HONDURAS EARLY THU...THEN REACH FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO E HONDURAS EARLY FRI WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS