000 AGXX40 KNHC 111815 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS EASTERN U.S. HAS STRENGTHENED COMBINED WITH T.D. SIXTEEN HAS TIGHTENED THE GRADIENT AND NE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 15-20 KTACROSS THE SE GULF WITH NE-E WINDS 10-15 KT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. THE HIGH WEAKENS AND THE WINDS DECREASE MON AND TUE. SEAS BUILD 7-9 FT ACROSS THE SE GULF AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA LATE SAT AND SUN...THEN SUBSIDE MON. OTHERWISE SEAS 4-5 FT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN NEAR 25.4N 72.6W AT 1500 UTC. WINDS ARE 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT WITH A MINIMUM PRES OF 1009 MB. T.D. SIXTEEN IS FORECAST TO DRIFT S AND DISSIPATE FRI. LEFT OVER TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM 31N67W TO CENTRAL CUBA LATE FRI. PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND THE HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN NE WINDS 20-25 KT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD THEN DISSIPATES SUN. HIGH PRES MOVES E AND WINDS BECOME NE-E 20 KT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA SUN. WINDS DECREASE ON MON...EXCEPT OVER THE FAR SE WHERE WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT AS LOW PRES OVER TROPICAL N ATLC APPROACHES. THE LOW HAS THE POSSIBILITY TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND BRUSHES THE FAR E PORTION OF THE AREA MON AND TUE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... A 1008 MB LOW PRES CENTER IS CENTERED NEAR 11N58W. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NNE AND COULD POSSIBLY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. STRONG NE WINDS NEAR THE LOW WILL SPREAD NE THROUGH MON AS LOW TRACKS TO THE NNE AND MOVE N OF THE AREA LATE MON. OTHERWISE WINDS ARE LIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS