000 AGXX40 KNHC 051800 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A DISSIPATING SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE SW GULF WATERS. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAIL OVER THE GULF WATERS. LATEST SCATTEROMETER...SHIP...AND BUOY DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 2 TO 3 FT OVER THE SW GULF WATERS...AND 1 TO 2 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH SAT EVENING WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS PREVAILING. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SAT NIGHT WITH FRESHENED WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO SOUTHERN TEXAS SUN MORNING...THEN REACH FROM N CENTRAL FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN TEXAS MON MORNING WHERE IT WILL STALL. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. A SURFACE TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE FAR E PART OF THE SW N ATLC BASIN. LATEST SCATTEROMETER...SHIP...AND BUOY DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NW PART OF THE AREA IN THE VICINITY OF THE RIDGE...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 2 TO 3 FT OVER THE NW PART OF THE AREA AND 4 TO 6 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS...WITH SEAS 2 TO 4 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO FORM ALONG THE TROUGH AS THE FEATURE SHIFTS WESTWARD. THE TROUGH AND LOW PRESSURE AREA DRIFT WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL DISSIPATE SUN WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUING TO DRIFT W REACHING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENING N OF THE AREA...TRADES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. THERE ARE TWO TROPICAL WAVES OVER THE AREA. ONE TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE THE OTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. LATEST SCATTEROMETER...SHIP...AND BUOY DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADEWINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. SEAS ARE 5 FT ORE LESS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN. THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SAT...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN AND MON...AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL