000 AGXX40 KNHC 020759 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 AM EDT SUN SEP 02 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... 1020 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED OVER THE FAR NE GULF OFF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA...WITH A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 29N ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS. BUOY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE SOUTH TO 27N THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. EXPECT LIGHT SW FLOW N OF THE AXIS AND LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE FLOW S OF THE AXIS THROUGH THU. SEAS WILL REMAIN 3 FT OR LESS OVERALL. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... FOR THE WATERS N OF 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE MAIN ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE TROPICAL STORM LESLIE...NOW CENTERED ABOUT 230 NM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ATLANTIC OFFSHORE ZONE AMZ127. THE MOST RECENT REPORT FROM BUOY 41044 INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS TO 37 KT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT...POSSIBLY INFLUENCED BY TRAPPED FETCH ON THE NE QUADRANT OF THE STORM. WILL ADJUST MAX SEA HEIGHTS UPWARD SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGHER SEAS. AN ASCAT PASS FROM 0130 UTC INDICATED WINDS TO 30 KT WITHIN 210 NM IN THE E SEMICIRCLE OF LESLIE. CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STORM. THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS STILL EXPECTED TO RECURVE MORE TO THE NORTH BY EARLY MON AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG ROUGHLY 62W. THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN E OF 65W. NONETHELESS STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER N OF 22N AND E OF 67W. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON LESLIE...PLEASE REFER TO NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC. ELSEWHERE THE MAIN IMPACT TO THE AREA W OF 65W CONTINUES TO BE SWELL. WAVE ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES INDICATE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER IN EASTERLY SWELL WILL BE E OF 70W BY TUE...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR 8 FT OR HIGHER SWELL AS FAR W AS 75W BY THU. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... NE SWELL MAINLY UP 8 TO 10 FT WILL BE THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY FOR THE ATLC WATERS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AS TROPICAL STORM LESLIE CONTINUES TO MOVE N OF THE AREA. THE SWELL WILL ALSO IMPACT ATLC OFFSHORE WATERS N OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY...ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THIS WILL SUBSIDE INTO MON. ELSEWHERE BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS ONLY AROUND 10 TO 15 KT WITH UP TO 20 KT OFF COLOMBIA. RIDGING N OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THU...LEAVING ONLY SMALL AREAS OF 20 KT TRADES OFF THE GUAJIRA AREA OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WELL BELOW 8 FT. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 19N... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .AMZ127...TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN/GR