000 AGXX40 KNHC 221805 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SURFACE TROUGH FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO 27N90W WILL WILL NOT MOVE MUCH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SUPPORTING THIS FEATURE CONTINUES TO PUMP UP PLENTIFUL MOISTURE AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS FOUND IN ALMOST EVERY ZONE. EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THU. ANOTHER TROUGH REMAINS RIGHT ALONG THE E COAST OF MEXICO WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTION CONCENTRATED THERE. NO DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED THROUGH THU. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL EMERGE OFF OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING MARCHING ACROSS THE SW GULF THROUGH THU. OTHERWISE A WEAK EXTENSION OF ATLC RIDGING STRETCHES FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO 25N89W. LATEST NHC ADVISORY BRINGS ISAAC TO NEAR THE SW FLORIDA COAST AS A HURRICANE NEAR 25.5N 81.5W MON. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... ATLC HIGH PRES IS CENTERED JUST S OF BERMUDA WITH A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING WESTWARD TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA THU AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES S OF THE AREA OVER THE CARIBBEAN. NWW3 HAS SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT N OF HISPANIOLA AND SPREAD W AS THE STORM MOVES W. ISAAC IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE FRI JUST S OF HISPANIOLA. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 60.8W AT 2 PM EDT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KT GUSTS TO 60 KT. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1006 MB MOVING TO THE W AT 18 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE CENTER WITH THE OUTER BANDS OF ISAAC NOW IMPACTING THE E CARIBBEAN ISLANDS. DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO THU...THEN TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY FRI. THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL REMAIN ON THE N-NE SIDE OF THE STORM OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE CARIBBEAN...WITH LARGE SWELLS IMPACTING THE NE-E FACING SIDES OF THE ISLANDS. ISAAC IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE FRI JUST S-SW OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THEN IT WILL MOVE OVER THE S CENTRAL TIP OF HISPANIOLA FRI AND INTO EASTERN CUBA SAT. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AMZ023-025-027. NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS