000
AGXX40 KNHC 061750
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 6 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE TO SE TEXAS WILL LIFT TO THE N OF THE AREA TONIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND WED...THEN MOVE INTO THE FAR SOUTHERN 
GULF THU JUST SKIMMING THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A TROPICAL STORM 
BOTH THU AND FRI. ERNESTO WITH THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND SAT.
OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA N OF 25N.

SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IN THE WESTERN 
CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA IS PRODUCING ELY WINDS 
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE SW PORTION OF THE AREA S OF 23N W OF 77W. 
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT TUE AS ERNESTO MOVES 
W AND THE HIGH MOVES E RELAXING THE GRADIENT.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W...
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CURRENTLY NEAR 15.8N 80.5W AT 1500 UTC 
MOVING WNW 8 KT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUST TO 
65W THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 994 MB. ERNESTO WILL MOVE TO 
16.2N 82.0W THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY INTO A HURRICANE. ERNESTO 
THEN MOVES TO 17.5N 86.0W TUE WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 70 KT 
GUST TO 85 KT.....THEN MOVES THE COAST NEAR 18.2N 88.1W WED AND 
FURTHER INLAND AND WED NIGHT. REMNANT LOW FLORENCE WAY OUT IN 
THE ATLC WILL APPROACH THE N PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE 
WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE THU.

NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING AMZ019-021-029-031.

SW N ATLANTIC...
.NONE.
  
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS