000 AGXX40 KNHC 011826 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WESTERN EXTENSION OF ATLC RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 26N FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO S TEXAS COAST. LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN WITH SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE FRI OR SAT WITH MINOR CHANGES IN WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... NEARLY STATIONARY HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SUBTROPICAL HIGH TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LIGHT TO MODERATE ESE WINDS WITH WITH SEAS GENERALLY AROUND 3 TO 4 FT CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN THROUGH SAT EXCEPT WINDS BACK SE TO S IN SOUTHERN PORTION AS THE RIDGE RETREATS NE ALLOWING CREST OF TROPICAL WAVE IN CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 75W TO AFFECT AREA S OF AROUND 22N. STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE WITH DEVELOPING LOW CENTER NEAR 11N48W COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THU AND APPROACH SE CORNER OF REGION BY SAT AND SUN WITH INCREASING NE WINDS AND SEAS BUILDING TO 8-10 FT...ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W WILL ENHANCE FRESH E WINDS WITHIN 240 NM OF AXIS. THE WAVE WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN INTO CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH SAT. STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE WITH DEVELOPING LOW CENTER NEAR 11N48W COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY AS IT APPROACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARDS FRI INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE IN NE SEMICIRCLE. WIND AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH MON. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL