000
AGXX40 KNHC 050640
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
240 AM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
A STATIONARY HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 28N EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC 
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. LIGHT TO 
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER MOST THE REGION...AND ARE EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. VERY LITTLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY 
IS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRES DOMINATES THE REGION. 
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE FORECAST CARRIES A 
HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE...FOR WHAT IS PRIMARILY PERSISTENCE.

SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
A STATIONARY HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 29N EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL 
ATLANTIC INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. LIGHT TO MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL
OVER MOST THE REGION...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND. VERY LITTLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 
FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRES DOMINATES THE REGION. NORTHERN PORTION OF
TROPICAL WAVE S OF 21N ALONG 66W WILL TIGHTEN THE PRES GRADIENT 
S OF AROUND 22N WITHIN 120 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS...WITH SCATTERED 
CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA THROUGH FRI...MOVING INTO CUBA SAT AND
SUN. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND HAS HIGH CONFIDENCE.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
FRESH TO STRONG E-NE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN 
WITH SEAS 8-11 FT EXPECTED THROUGH MON AS A STATIONARY HIGH PRES 
RIDGE N OF THE AREA ALONG 28N AND A PERSISTENT AREA OF LOW PRES 
OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA SUPPORTS TIGHT PRES GRADIENT AND ENHANCED 
TRADE WINDS. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 66W WILL MOVE W ACROSS THE 
CARIBBEAN BASIN THROUGH SUN...AND BRING REINFORCING WINDS AND 
BUILDING SEAS IN ADDITION TO SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF 
THE WAVE AXIS. WELL ANCHORED RIDGE WITH LONG FETCH OF NE-E TRADE
WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...MAINTAINING 6-7 FT SEAS 
ACROSS TROPICAL ATLC WATERS. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT.

NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE OUTPUT IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
.NONE.

SW N ATLANTIC...
.NONE.
    
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL