000 AGXX40 KNHC 250743 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 345 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT TONIGHT WITH REGARD TO THE TRACK OF T.S. DEBBY...WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWING DEBBY MEANDERING OVER THE NE GULF DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THEN ONLY DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS A RIDGE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. GRADUALLY BREAKS DOWN. THE NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS DEBBY WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO WEAK STEERING CURRENTS. SEVERAL SCATTEROMETER PASSES INDICATED THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAIN MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND 87W. BUOYS ACROSS THE EAST GULF ALONG WITH THE NWW3_OFCL WAVE FORECAST REVEAL THAT THE 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS CAN BE FOUND WITHIN 210 NM SE OF THE STORM CENTER...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER AND WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT ARE NOTED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WATERS WHERE MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. WITH REGARD TO THE INTENSITY...THE NHC OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST NO LONGER BRINGS DEBBY TO HURRICANE STATUS. HOWEVER...SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY OF 60 KT WITH GUSTS OF 75 KT AT 27/0000 UTC AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THU THROUGH FRI AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... WEAK RIDGE...ANCHORED ON A 1021 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 33N56W... DOMINATES THE AREA PRODUCING MAINLY LIGHT WINDS E OF THE BAHAMAS. PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN T.S. DEBBY AND THE ATLC RIDGE IS RESULTING IN SE TO S WINDS 20 KT WITH ISOLATED SPOTS TO 25 KT ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA...THE EAST FLORIDA COAST AND THE NW BAHAMAS. THIS WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH WED THEN WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT AS DEBBY LIKELY MOVES INLAND. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE TRADES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN...WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER WINDS ALONG THE N COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA THROUGH THU DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK RIDGE N OF THE AREA. LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH TONIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE TROPICAL N ATLC MON AND INTO THE CARIBBEAN TUE THROUGH THU. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE OUTPUT IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE (LOWER CASE) GULF OF MEXICO... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING GMZ013-GMZ15. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER GR