000 AGXX40 KNHC 300625 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 225 AM EDT WED MAY 30 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE TEXAS COAST TO 1015 MB HIGH PRES IN THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 26N90W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THIS RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED BY AN INTRUSION OF LOW PRES ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. BERYL OVER E GEORGIA. FRESH NW WINDS IN THE EXTREME NE GULF WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AS BERYL CONTINUES TO THE NE AWAY FROM THE AREA. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL LINGER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD HELPING TO ENHANCE CONVECTION NEAR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD FROM SW FLORIDA TO NE MEXICO WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW INCREASING TO 20 KT ALONG THE NE COAST OF MEXICO AND SE TEXAS LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU. THE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN THROUGH THU NIGHT INCREASING WINDS TO 20-25 KT IN THE W CENTRAL GULF...THEN RELAXES AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST EARLY FRI. THE FRONT WILL SKIM ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS LATE FRI THROUGH SAT WITH HIGH PRES AGAIN REBUILDING BY SUN. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... SURFACE TROUGHING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SCATTERED STRONG TSTMS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND NW CARIBBEAN AND IS ALSO SENDING AN ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME TO ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...CUBA AND JAMAICA. FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADES COVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. MEANWHILE MAINLY MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ARE IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC. LITTLE CHANGE IN WEATHER CONDITIONS AND THE PATTERN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS ATLC RIDGING NE OF THE AREA DOMINATES AREA TO THE N. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... T.D. BERYL REMAINS INLAND OVER E GEORGIA MOVING TO THE NE AWAY FROM THE AREA. MEANWHILE 1020 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR BERMUDA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE OUTER CIRCULATION OF BERYL CONTINUES TO PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG S-SW WINDS IN ZONE AMZ111 E OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF AMZ113 ALONG WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. LIGHT TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA REMOVED FROM BERYL. BERYL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE CAROLINA COASTS TODAY AS THE HIGH AND RIDGE SLIDE TO THE SE-S. THE ASSOCIATED WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE WED AS BERYL MOVES FURTHER AWAY. THE CENTRAL ATLC HIGH/RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS PERSISTING. MODEL GUIDANCE BRINGS A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE SW N ATLC SAT THROUGH SUN WITH HIGH PRES REBUILDING BEHIND IT BY LATE SUN. NO SURGE OF WINDS IS ANTICIPATED WITH THIS FEATURE...ONLY A TEMPORARY WIND SHIFT. A BLEND OF THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE USED FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE ALONG WITH THE UKMET IN THE FIRST 48 HOURS. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE OUTPUT IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE (LOWER CASE) GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY