000 AGXX40 KNHC 260702 RRA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 256 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK AND BROAD HIGH PRES REMAINS CENTERED NEAR NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO THE SW JUST S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. A RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED MODERATE TO FRESH E-SE WINDS ACROSS THE W GULF WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE E GULF. EARLY MORNING BUOY AND SHIP OBS REPORT 4-6 FT SEAS IN THE W GULF AND 1-3 FT IN THE E GULF. THE WATERS ARE MAINLY VOID OF CONVECTION EXCEPT FOR A SMALL DISSIPATING AREA IN THE FAR E PORTION WHICH HAS MOVED WESTWARD OFF OF SW FLORIDA. THE FRESH WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS WEEKEND AS THE HIGH SHIFTS TO THE SW AS NEWLY FORMED SUB-TROPICAL STORM BERYL...CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN N ATLC... IS FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA BEFORE MOVING BACK TO THE NE-E INTO THE ATLC. MEANWHILE THE RIDGE WILL BECOME ORIENTED FROM NEAR GALVESTON BAY TO WESTERN CUBA MON THROUGH WED. FRESH WINDS WILL THEN RETURN OVER THE GULF WATERS W OF 94W LATE WED INTO THU AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS THERE BETWEEN THE RIDGING AND DEEPENING LOWER PRES OVER INTERIOR TEXAS AND MEXICO. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... SURFACE TROUGHING CONTINUES TO LINGER IN THE NW CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF HONDURAS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS PRESENT E OF THE TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL CUBA WHERE RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREAS AS THE PAST FEW DAYS. EARLIER REPORTS FROM CUBA INDICATED THAT AREAS IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN REGION HAVE RECEIVED TORRENTIAL AMOUNTS OF RAIN (UP TO 20 INCHES). THIS TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN REACHING FROM 15N68W TO CENTRAL VENEZUELA. ASSOCIATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE ACROSS THE WATERS E OF 72W. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AROUND 10 KT. MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST PRIMARILY IN THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. FRESH E-SE WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL EVENINGS. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 32.4N 75.W OR ABOUT 285 MILES E OF CHARLESTON S CAROLINA AS OF 0600 UTC WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT AND A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES OF 1001 MB. PLENTIFUL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FEED UP INTO THE CIRCULATION OF BERYL FROM THE S-SW WITH ACTIVITY CONTINUING OVER THE BAHAMAS. REPORTS FROM FRI INDICATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES IN THE BAHAMAS. BERYL IS FORECAST TO MOVE SW TOWARD THE SE GEORGIA/NORTHERN FLORIDA COASTAL SECTIONS THIS WEEKEND EVENTUALLY MOVING INLAND MON NIGHT. THE FORECAST THEN TAKES BERYL BACK OVER WATER BY WED NIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AMZ111 AND AMZ113. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 20-21 FT ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF BERYL LATER THIS WEEKEND WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS LIKELY REMAINING N OF 31N. SEAS OF 4-7 FT WILL LIKELY PROPAGATE SOUTHWARD BETWEEN FLORIDA AND THE BAHAMAS LATE SAT THROUGH SUN. REFER TO THE LOCAL NWS COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION INSIDE OF 60 NM...AND HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS (HLS) ISSUED BY THE NWS FOR OTHER COASTAL IMPACTS OF BERYL. OTHERWISE MAINLY MODERATE E-SE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REMAINDER OF THE SW N ATLC THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE OUTPUT IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE (LOWER CASE) GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AMZ111-113. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY