000 AGXX40 KNHC 010650 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 AM EDT SUN APR 01 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 19N W OF 55W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC FROM 19N TO 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. A DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT IS HELPING TO INDUCE THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. WEAK HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF DOMINATES THE REGION WITH MAINLY MODERATE TO FRESH RETURN SE WINDS ACROSS THE W GULF AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE E GULF. WINDS WILL BE NE 20 KT NEAR THE YUCATAN COAST DURING THE EVENINGS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF MON THROUGH TUE WITH BUILDING SEAS TO 7 FT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC S OF 19N W OF 55W... MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE 20-25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH EARLY SUN. SCATTEROMETER DATA CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF THESE WIND SPEEDS WITH 20 KT WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TUE AND WED. LARGE NW SWELL TO 12 FT WILL ARRIVE BEHIND IT SLOWLY PROPAGATING TO THE S OF THE ZONE THROUGH THE WEEK. SOUTHWEST N ATLC FROM 19N TO 31N W OF 55W... A RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 26N/27N FROM 1023 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED E OF AREA. THIS RIDGE WILL WEAKEN AS A SERIES OF FRONTS/TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SW N ATLC WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE STRONGEST FRONT WILL IMPACT THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA MON AND TUE WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 20-30 KT AND SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. THE OPERATIONAL GFS INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS E OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS ZONE AS A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRES MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN LATE MON INTO TUE. THE EFS GALE PROBABILITY ALSO SUGGESTS GALE FORCE WINDS PARTICULARLY N OF 30N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W MON EVENING THROUGH TUE MORNING. A GALE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE IN EFFECT E OF 65W IN 48 HOURS. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER GR