000 AGXX40 KNHC 291847 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC AND SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... ATLC RIDGE ALONG ALONG 31N WILL SHIFT S TO AROUND 27N TONIGHT AND EXTEND INTO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH FRI. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN GULF SUN AND MON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NW GULF MON NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM LOUISIANA TO SOUTHERN MEXICO TUE. EXPECT N-NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT TO BE 20-25 KT...POSSIBLY TO 30 KT S OF 25N IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. CONTINUE TO USE GFS ENSEMBLE FOR TIMING AND LOCATION OF FRONT...WAITING FOR GREATER CONSENSUS TO DEVELOP AMONG GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT OVER TROPICAL ATLC E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. EASTERLY TRADES WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF AREA. A NEW ROUND OF NLY SWELL WITH COMBINED SEAS TO 11 FT WILL SWEEP SOUTH OF 20N E OF 65W TONIGHT...THEN SUBSIDE TO ABOUT 9 FT FRI NIGHT. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS WINDS LIGHTEN UNDER HIGH PRES S OF 28N. FURTHER N...A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST AROUND 27N THROUGH FRI NIGHT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT E SAT NIGHT AS ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT BRUSHES PAST 30N SUN AND MON. SW FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE NW WATERS TUE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES NORTHERN FLORIDA. CARIBBEAN SEA... FRESH E-NE TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE...EXCEPT FOR ENHANCED FLOW NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF COLOMBIA OCCASIONALLY TO 20-25 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRI...THEN ELY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND E CARIBBEAN FRI NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MON. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL