000 AGXX40 KNHC 190718 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 320 AM EDT MON MAR 19 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC AND SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WESTERN PERIPHERY OF ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDS TO AROUND 90W. MODERATE TO FRESH EAST-SOUTHEAST RETURN FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE ENTIRE GULF THIS MORNING. A DEEP SLOW-MOVING TROUGH ANCHORED BY A 987 MB LOW IN WYOMING STRETCHES N-S ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SLOW-MOVING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY MAKE ITS WAY TO THE COAST OF TEXAS TUE EVENING. FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN GULF W OF 88W MON NIGHT AND TUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL STALL ROUGHLY ALONG 92W-93W WED NIGHT...THEN DRIFT BACK TO THE WEST THU...LIE ALONG THE TX COAST EARLY FRI...THEN DISSIPATE INLAND LATE FRI. CONTINUE TO EXPECT NLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT TO MAX OUT AT 30 KT DUE TO STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KT...FROM 22N TO 26N W OF FRONT TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AS FRONT STALLS. SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... WEAK E-W RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU NIGHT. A SERIES OF WEAK TRADE WIND DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP S OF THE RIDGE AXIS...RESULTING IN SHIFTING AREAS OF ENHANCED NE WINDS TO 25 KT THROUGH THU. THE FIRST AREA...NEAR 24N66W TONIGHT AND TUE...WILL SHIFT SW TO NEAR 23N71W TUE NIGHT. A SECOND AREA IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR 23N65W WED AND WED NIGHT. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL IN THE AREAS OF ENHANCED TRADE WINDS. E WINDS WILL N OF 27N TUE NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU. WINDS/SEAS WILL DIMINISH/SUBSIDE FRI AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS BACK OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... STRONG E-NE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT THEN REMAIN AROUND 20 KT THROUGH THU NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW 20 KT FRI. FRESH ENE WINDS WILL PERSIST S OF HISPANIOLA BETWEEN JAMAICA AND CUBA INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH WED. EASTERLY TRADES WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THU. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND S OF 20N E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THROUGH FRI. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL