000
AGXX40 KNHC 171825
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE 
N AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER S 
TEXAS AND RACE NE ACROSS E TX EARLY SAT...REACHING CENTRAL LA 
SAT NIGHT. THE LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT...ACCOMPANIED BY A 
VERY CONVECTIVE PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE...OFF THE TX COAST SAT 
WITH THE FRONT PASSING SE OF AREA BY SUN NIGHT. EXPECT SLY FLOW 
AHEAD OF FRONT TO 25 KT AND NLY FLOW W OF FRONT TO 30 KT...WITH 
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A MINIMAL GALE W OF 95W SAT NIGHT. BY 
THE TIME THE FRONT CLEARS THE FL STRAITS SUN NIGHT MODERATE TO 
FRESH RETURN FLOW LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL HAVE ALREADY COMMENCED 
OVER THE NW WATERS. SLY WINDS WILL SPREAD E ACROSS THE ENTIRE 
GULF BY TUE MORNING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TX 
COAST TUE...AND REACH FROM MISSISSIPPI TO VERACRUZ WED.
   
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A LOW NEAR 35N73W TO THE GA/FL BORDER
WILL PASS BERMUDA SAT MORNING WHILE STALLING E-W ALONG 28N W OF 
70W. WESTERN PART OF THE BOUNDARY WILL MOVE N SAT NIGHT AND SUN 
AS A WARM FRONT WITH SLY FLOW INCREASING TO 20-30 KT. A STRONG 
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE FLORIDA COAST SUN NIGHT. HIGHEST 
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL BE 30-35 KT OVER WATERS N 
OF 30N E OF THE FRONT TO 72W. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 
BERMUDA TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE MON AFTERNOON...AND PASS SE OF 
THE AREA LATE TUE. STRONG HIGH PRES WILL BUILD SE BEHIND THE 
FRONT TUE AND WED.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
A HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF AREA WILL SHIFT E AND WEAKEN TONIGHT AND 
SAT. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF 
THE REGION THROUGH SUN. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE 
YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT THEN WEAKEN MON. 
A SHEAR LINE WILL DEVELOP NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TUE AND WED.
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
TUE AND WED AS STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDS SOUTHWARD N OF THE REGION.

WARNINGS...

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE. 

.SW N ATLC...
.NONE. AMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 30N ALONG FRONT 
SUN AND MON.   

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
.NONE. 
    
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL