000 AGXX40 KNHC 170631 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE TO 28N92W THEN BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY TO THE TX/MEXICAN BORDER. LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP TODAY OVER EXTREME NE MEXICO AND RACE NE ACROSS E TX TONIGHT REACHING CENTRAL LA LATE SAT. THIS LOW WILL DRAG A NEW COLD FRONT...ACCOMPANIED BY A VERY CONVECTIVE PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE...OFF THE TX COAST SAT WITH THE FRONT PASSING E OF AREA SUN NIGHT. EXPECT SLY FLOW AHEAD OF FRONT TO 25 KT AND NLY FLOW W OF FRONT TO 30 KT...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A MINIMAL GALE W OF 95W SAT NIGHT. AS FRONT CLEARS THE FL STRAITS ON SUN NIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL HAVE ALREADY CLOCKED TO SE OVER THE NW WATERS WITH THIS SLY RETURN FLOW SPREADING E ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF BY SUNRISE TUE. THE NEXT FRONT MOVES OFF THE TX COAST TUE REACHING FROM THE MS DELTA TO VERACRUZ AROUND SUNRISE WED. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE GA COAST TONIGHT WILL PASS BERMUDA SAT MORNING WHILE ITS WESTERN SEGMENT STALLS E-W ALONG 28N. THE W SEGMENT WILL MOVE N SAT NIGHT AND SUN WITH THE SLY FLOW INCREASING TO 20-30 KT EXCEPT 30-35 KT OVER THE WATERS N OF 30N E OF FRONT TO 72W AND ALSO BRIEFLY W OF THE FRONT. THIS STRONGER FRONT WILL REACH FROM BERMUDA THE WINDWARD PASSAGE MON AFTERNOON AND PASS SE OF AREA LATE TUE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A RIDGE N OF AREA WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI...THEN SHIFT E AND WEAKEN SAT. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH SUN. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT THEN WEAKEN MON AS STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDS S ACROSS THE REGION. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. AMZ080...GALE CONDS EXPECTED N OF 30N ALONG FRONT SUN AND MON. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON