000 AGXX40 KNHC 160649 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EST THU FEB 16 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THEN WEAKEN OVER THE NW GULF LATER TODAY AND MOVE N ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A WARM FRONT FRI AND FRI NIGHT. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES WILL FORM OVER THE NW GULF SAT THEN MOVE RAPIDLY E-NE ACROSS SE U.S. AS AN INTENSE LOW PRES SYSTEM WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE NW GULF SAT AS THE LOW DEVELOPS. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE GULF SUN. WINDS WILL VEER EASTWARD MON WITH SE FLOW RETURNING TO THE W GULF. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 28N THROUGH FRI NIGHT THEN SHIFT EASTWARD SAT. A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION THROUGH SAT. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST EARLY SAT. SOUTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE IN NW PORTION E OF FLORIDA AHEAD OF THE FRONT SAT NIGHT AND SUN. EXPECT SW WINDS 25-30 KT SUN AND SUN NIGHT N OF 28N SHIFTING W-NW BEHIND FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N77W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA SUN AND FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUN NIGHT AND FROM 31N65W TO EASTERN CUBA MON. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRES RIDGING N OF AREA WILL THROUGH FRI...THEN SHIFT EASTWARD AND WEAKEN SAT. MODERATE-FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH SUN. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SUN WILL CAUSE WINDS N OF 18N IN THE NW CARIBBEAN TO LIGHTEN AND VEER S-SE. NE WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN BEHIND THE FRONT MON AS HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF THE AREA. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS