000 AGXX40 KNHC 281904 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... STATIONARY FRONT FROM STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO NE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEAKENS TODAY AND DISSIPATES BY SUN. HEALTHY HIGH PRES CENTER 1031 MB BUILDS OVER SE STATES WITH FRESH TO STRONG E-NE BREEZE OVER E OF 95W AND LIGHT TO MODERATE BREEZE W OF 95W. WINDS VEER SE OVER WESTERN ZONES AFTER TUE AS HIGH PRES CENTER MOVES E ALONG 31N. MAIN DIFFERENCE AMONG MODEL GUIDANCE IS STRENGTH OF WINDS WITH GFS AND THE ENSEMBLE THE STRONGEST WHILE EUROPEAN AND NAM SOLUTIONS ARE SLIGHTLY WEAKER. FORECAST LEANS TOWARDS THE STRONGER WINDS SUPPORTING SEAS OF 11 FT. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE BUILDS SEAS UP TO 9 FT BEGINNING SUN NIGHT IN THE MIDDLE GULF S OF 26N...AND IN THE EASTERN GULF S OF 26N MON. SEAS REMAIN AT 8-9 FT IN THOSE AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING TO 5 OR 6 FT INTO WED. SW N ATLC... WEAK STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N70W TO 25N80W AS UPPER SUPPORT PULLS NE AWAY FROM SURFACE FEATURE. HIGH PRES CENTER DRIFTS E FROM GULF OF MEXICO EFFECTIVELY WASHING FRONT AWAY BUT KEEPING ENOUGH PRES GRADIENT TO WARRANT STRONG BREEZE ALONG DISSIPATING BOUNDARY THROUGH LATE TUE. RIDGE BUILDS E-W ALONG 32N-33N THROUGH REMAINING FORECAST PERIOD MAINTAINING MODERATE TO FRESH E BREEZE ACROSS ENTIRE ZONE THROUGH THU. CARIBBEAN SEA... WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS YUCATAN CHANNEL DISSIPATES SUN AS HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS OVER SW N ATLC. STRENGTH OF RIDGE PROMPTS LARGE AREA OF STRONG E BREEZE ACROSS BASIN WITH EMBEDDED REGION OF NEAR GALE WINDS NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. MODEL GUIDANCE GIVE NO SIGNS OF ABATEMENT IN EITHER STRONG WINDS OR SEAS RUNNING AS HIGH AS 12 FT IN E SWELLS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES