000 AGXX40 KNHC 261825 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EST THU JAN 26 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION EXTENDS FROM 30N91W TO 20N97W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STRONG TSTMS ARE ALONG A SQUALL LINE WHICH HAS FORMED EAST OF THE FRONT AS WELL AS NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND W-NW WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN THE WESTERN GULF BEHIND THE FRONT. N-NW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 30 KT LATER THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM MOBILE BAY TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT...FROM SW FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FRI NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SAT. STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING N OF THE AREA ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SUN WILL BRING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS TO THE EASTERN GULF SUN NIGHT AND MON...THEN DIMINISH TUE. SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 29/30N WILL MAINTAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE NE PART OF SW N ATLC TONIGHT AND FRI WHILE SE WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE W OF 72W AND VEER S-SW BY FRI NIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH NW PORTION OF SW N ATLC FRI NIGHT WITH WINDS AHEAD THE FRONT SW AT 20-25 KT. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL FLATTEN OUT AND UPPER WINDS WILL BECOME ZONAL SAT...ALLOWING THE FRONT TO LOSE ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SAT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N79W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA FRI...FROM 31N76W TO SOUTH FLORIDA FRI NIGHT THEN WEAKEN AND STALL FROM 31N73W TO FLORIDA KEYS SAT AND SUN. A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR LATE SUN WILL INCREASE WINDS NW OF THE STATIONARY FRONT AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO A SHEAR LINE MON AND TUE. ELSEWHERE...NE TRADES INCREASE S OF 17N TO 20 KT IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC FRI THROUGH SUN AS THE HIGH PRES RIDGE SHIFTS E OF THE FRONT AND INTENSIFIES. CARIBBEAN SEA... FRESH TO STRONG E-NE TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE. THE COLD FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND STALL AS IT REACHES THE YUCATAN CHANNEL FRI NIGHT...THEN BECOME A DIFFUSE STATIONARY FRONT SAT AND SUN. NE WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE NW CARIBBEAN MON AS A SHEAR LINE DEVELOPS ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY DUE TO STRONG HIGH PRES PUSHING SOUTHWARD N OF THE AREA. ELSEWHERE... FRESH E-NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL IN THE E CARIBBEAN FRI THROUGH TUE. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. .SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL